Follow is Atlascope's internal client. It stakes house capital alongside the trades our syndicate clients place, at roughly 13 cents per syndicate dollar. Below is the complete record since inception, and a Monte Carlo simulator that resamples the actual trade-level distribution so you can stress the book under your own assumptions.
| Month | Trades | Staked | P&L | ROI |
|---|
Bootstrap resampling. Each simulated trade is drawn, with replacement, from the 13,085 stake-bearing trades in the Follow trade log (20 May 2025 to 26 Jul 2026). Voids and pushes are kept in the pool as zero-return trades, so their real frequency is preserved. Nothing is fitted or parameterised: the simulator replays the book's own empirical distribution.
Staking modes. Historical stakes replays the actual dollar stake attached to each sampled trade, multiplied by your scale factor (1.0× reproduces the book as run). Fixed stake applies each sampled trade's return-on-stake to a constant stake. % of bankroll compounds: each stake is the chosen fraction of the running bankroll.
Calibration. A month is 930 trades, the average across the 14 complete months in the log. The seed makes every run exactly reproducible: the same inputs always give the same result.
Limitations. Trades are drawn independently, while real trades cluster within matches and days; short-horizon variance is understated somewhat as a result. The simulation assumes the future distribution matches the sample period, and models no liquidity or capacity constraints. This is an analytical tool, not a forecast or a solicitation.